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Perception and Misperception in International Politics



This study of perception and misperception in foreign policy was a landmark in the application of cognitive psychology to political decision making. The "New York Times" called it, in an article published nearly ten years after the book's appearance, "the seminal statement of principles underlying political psychology." The perspective established by Jervis remains an important counterpoint to structural explanations of international politics, and from it has developed a large literature on the psychology of leaders and the problems of decision making under conditions of incomplete information, stress, and cognitive bias. Jervis begins by describing the process of perception (for example, how decision makers learn from history) and then explores common forms of misperception (such as overestimating one's influence). Finally, he tests his ideas through a number of important events in international relations from nineteenth- and twentieth-century European history. In a contemporary application of Jervis's ideas, some argue that Saddam Hussein invaded Kuwait in 1990 in part because he misread the signals of American leaders with regard to the independence of Kuwait. Also, leaders of the United States and Iraq in the run-up to the most recent Gulf War might have been operating under cognitive biases that made them value certain kinds of information more than others, whether or not the information was true. Jervis proved that, once a leader believed something, that perception would influence the way the leader perceived all other relevant information.


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4731/PUP/2017327.019 JER p c.1Perpustakaan Universitas PertaminaAvailable
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Detail Information

Series Title
-
Call Number
327.019 JER p
Publisher Princeton University Press : New Jersey.,
Collation
xci, 445 p. ; 24 cm
Language
English
ISBN/ISSN
9780691175850
Classification
327.019
Content Type
-
Media Type
-
Carrier Type
-
Edition
Ed. 2nd
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Specific Detail Info
-
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