ANALISIS PERAMALAN PERENCANAAN PENGIRIMAN PRODUK CORRUGATED TIPE C & D DI PT. FUMIRA BEKASI

Abstract

Forecasting is a technique used to predict things in the future. The types of forecasting that exist include technological, economic forecasting, and inventory forecasting. Forecasting the availability of existing goods should need to be considered for selecting the type of method used to minimize errors because it will result in inventory over-stocking or even shortages. Error calculation using the Mean Absolute Percent Error (MAPE) because the MAPE error is a method that shows how much the percentage of errors from the forecast data that has been made. Also, the function of shipping forecasting is useful for minimizing excess production which will later affect price spikes and spikes in the availability of finished goods. This study, discussing the forecasting of products Corrugated types C and D in PT. Fumira Bekasi uses the method time series by processing historical data for the past 3.5 years, namely January 2017 - September 2020 to predict forecasts for the next 12 months and the calculation of safety stock to prevent products corrugated types C and D from experiencing excess stock or even a shortage of stock. regardless of the specific specifications and types of products also only focuses on if the goods are always there without thinking about external factors.